I don't think the governorship or Lt Gov. are vulnerable. I think Cruz is.
Edited to add:
I don't think the State as a whole will change to bold blue; however, I think it will become pink. There's enough unrest to make it possible to have blue senators and lots of down ballot red turning blue.
That's the worst bit of pretzel logic I've seen from Joe, and that's saying a lot. If democrats wanted a shoe-in for that seat their "operatives" (as you infer) would have voted for that idiot Kathleen Wall in droves. As it is, she got smoked. Why is this so hard for you?